This has been a challenging season for Ipswich Town, as they
have been poor in the league and recently suffered a humiliating, televised
defeat in the FA Cup against non-league Lincoln City. Manager Mick McCarthy
appears to retain the support of the board for the time being, but he has clearly
lost many of the fans.
This feels a little harsh on the experienced Yorkshire man,
who has arguably enabled Ipswich to punch above their weight during his tenure.
When he replaced Paul Jewell in November 2012, Ipswich were bottom of the
Championship, but McCarthy successfully guided the club out of the relegation
zone to finish in a comfortable 14th place.
Since then he has registered three successive top ten
finishes. His first full season in 2013/14 ended in a respectable ninth place,
before he led them to the play-offs in 2014/15. Last season Ipswich came a
somewhat disappointing seventh, but this was still ahead of many wealthier
clubs.
As McCarthy pointed out, “This is the first year that it’s
been a struggle.” To an extent, he has been a victim of his own success, as he
reached the play-offs on a shoestring budget, getting the most out of a fairly
average squad.
"Merry Christmas, Mr. Lawrence"
This reinforced the cautious approach of Marcus Evans, who
has frequently spoken of his determination to take Ipswich to the Premier
League since he bought 87.5% of the club in December 2007, but has equally
often been accused of lacking the ambition to do so.
Evans summarised his philosophy last month: “My view, based on
the finances available to us compared to those with parachute budgets and the
small group with, often short term, huge owner investment, is for the club to
maintain a sustainable and consistent strategy, which I firmly believe provides
a foundation each season for a promotion challenge.”
He then outlined the key elements of his strategy, “In
summary, a focus on the Academy; a competitive wage structure; careful use of
our transfer budget on developing players and a stable management team are
factors which I believe provide us with the best chance of promotion out of the
Championship, which is one of the toughest - and getting even tougher - leagues
in the world.”
Managing director Ian Milne was singing from the same song
sheet: “Marcus has gone for sustainability and Mick understands that. You can
achieve good things through getting the right people in your club and working
as a team from top to bottom.”
"A Grant don't come for free"
While all this is undoubtedly true, the concern is that this
conservative stance will mean a continuation of the 15-year groundhog day
existence that Ipswich have held in the Championship (or equivalent) since
relegation from the top flight in 2002. To paraphrase U2, it feels like Ipswich
are “stuck in a moment – and they can’t get out of it.”
Initially, Evans provided his managers with enough funding
to be competitive in the transfer market, but this did not achieve the desired
objective, as first Roy Keane, then Jewell essentially wasted the owners’ cash
with a series of poor choices. Not only did these expensive purchases not
deliver on the pitch, but they ended up being offloaded for peanuts, leading to
large financial losses arising from misplaced recruitment.
Having had his fingers burnt, Evans opted for a change in
strategy: “I wanted to work with a manager who was going to try to and coach
and make our players better, rather than give the manager the opportunity (to
simply buy players).”
"Don't Luke back in anger"
The owner explained: “You would have hoped that money had
resulted in better things, but look at Nottingham Forest – they lost £25
million last year and got nowhere. There are a lot of clubs out there that
spent a lot more than Ipswich did and who ended up in exactly the same
situation.”
The drive to more sensible cost management was also
influenced by the introduction of the Financial Fair Play rules, which
essentially aim to force clubs to live within their means.
As a result, in the past few years Ipswich have focused on
free transfers, loans and swap deals, while trying to bring through young
players from the Academy into the first team. As Milne explained, “We do have a
very good scouting network and that enables us to get players at the minimum
transfer fee.”
Consequently, Ipswich have averaged annual gross spend of
only £0.5 million in the last four seasons (though the January 2017 transfer
window has not yet closed), compared to £5.6 million a season in the first
three years of the Evans era. In the same periods, average net spend of £4
million has flipped to average net sales of £4 million, an £8 million reduction.
Last summer’s spending was a good example of Ipswich’s
policy: two promising young players were acquired in the shape of Grant Ward
from Tottenham Hotspur and Adam Webster from Portsmouth at a combined cost of
£1.4 million, while there were a couple of free transfers, including the
veteran journeyman Leon Best from Rotherham United.
Evans argued that there was also money splashed out on loan
fees and wages needed to tempt Premier League clubs to release players,
including Welsh internationals Tom Lawrence (from Leicester City) and Jonny
Williams (from Crystal Palace) and Conor Grant (from Everton), but Ipswich
supporters would justifiably point out that the club failed to replace forward
Daryl Murphy, who was sold to Newcastle United.
Ipswich’s parsimony can be seen by looking at the gross
spend of Championship clubs this season, when only six clubs spent less than
the Tractor Boys. These included two clubs with transfer embargoes (Blackburn
Rovers and Nottingham Forest) plus a few “minnows”, i.e. Preston North End,
Burton Albion, Rotherham United and Wigan Athletic.
The more meaningful comparison is with clubs seeking
promotion, as Evans himself noted, “Newcastle and Norwich spent more than £100
million between them on transfer fees in the August window as they chase an
immediate return to the Premier League.” Although this was actually factually
incorrect, his point was still valid as Newcastle and Aston Villa have spent
£55 million and £52 million respectively. Other big spenders include Fulham £22
million, Derby County £14 million, Wolverhampton Wanderers £11 million and
Bristol City £11 million.
Many managers would use this low spending as an excuse for
not meeting their objectives, but McCarthy is made of sterner stuff, saying
that he won’t “stamp his feet” over the restricted transfer budget given to him
by Evans. Instead, he sees it as his job to get more out of the players he’s
got.
That said, he would like his achievements to be recognised:
“I’ve done a bloody good job under the terms and conditions. I’ve sold Murphy,
I’ve sold Mings, and others, and we’ve stayed competitive.”
Despite this prudent policy, Ipswich reported a £6.6 million
loss in 2015/16, a £12.1 million deterioration from the previous year’s £5.5
million profit, though this was almost entirely due to a £11.5 million
reduction in profits on player sales. These dropped from £12.2 million in
2014/15, due to the sales of Tyrone Mings to Bournemouth and Aaron Creswell to
West Ham, to only £0.6 million.
The wage bill rose by £0.6 million (4%) from £16.0 million
to £16.6 million as “further funds were invested in the squad to challenge for
the play-off positions.” Other expenses also increased by £0.3 million (6%) to
£5.4 million, but player amortisation dropped by £0.5 million (74%) to just
£0.2 million.
Revenue slightly decreased by £0.1 million (1%), mainly due
to a £0.4 million (9%) reduction in commercial income to £4.4 million, offset
by broadcasting income rising by £0.3 million (6%) to £5.4 million. Gate
receipts were unchanged at £6.5 million, as the club’s share of receipts from
the League Cup tie against Manchester United at Old Trafford compensated for a
fall in attendances and the money from the previous season’s play-off
appearance.
Although a £7 million loss might not sound overly impressive, it has to be assessed in
the context of England’s second tier, where the harsh reality is that most
clubs are loss-making, largely as a result of their natural desire to reach the
lucrative Premier League.
In this way, none of the Championship clubs that have so far
published their 2015/16 accounts has been profitable with some reporting hefty
losses: Brighton and Hove Albion £26 million, Hull City £21 million, Reading
£15 million and Bristol City £15 million. As Evans lamented, “Wouldn’t it be
nice… if you could turn a profit in the Championship, but I’m afraid that’s not
the case.”
One way a football club can compensate for operating losses
is via player sales, but Championship clubs have struggled to make big money
sales with the highest amount reported so far last season being Hull City’s £13
million – and they had Premier League players to offload following relegation
in 2015.
However, Ipswich’s profit on player sales of £0.6 million
was one of the lowest in the division – in contrast to 2014/15 when their £12.1
million profit was only surpassed by Norwich City’s £14 million. Of course, next
year’s accounts will be boosted by the £3 million sale of Daryl Murphy to
Newcastle.
Ipswich have only reported a profit once in the Evans era,
the £5 million in 2014/15, losing money in the other eight years. However, it
is noticeable that the losses have been reducing, effectively capped at £7
million in the past three seasons.
As Milne explained, “In 2012 the annual losses peaked at £16
million and we started to go down a slightly different route.” That was
actually the third worst loss in the Championship that year and served as a
major wake-up call.
The reason for this large deficit were given by finance
director Mark Andrews, “We brought in some experienced players in the 2011/12
season, Paul Jewell’s first season in charge, which kept the playing squad
costs high.”
However, Ipswich’s best results in recent times have been
boosted by large profits on player sales, as seen in 2014/15. Without the sales
of Mings and Cresswell, the reported profit of £5.5 million would have been a
loss of £6.7 million, i.e. in line with the £7 million losses in 2013/14 and
2015/16.
It was a similar story in 2011/12 when this activity contributed
£10.8 million, largely due to the transfers of Connor Wickham to Sunderland for
£8 million and Jon Walters to Stoke City for £2.75 million. Without these
sales, Ipswich would have registered another big loss of £14 million.
The owner has said that his funding “would eventually be
unsustainable without the benefits of transfer revenues from time to time to
offset the club’s running costs.” Interestingly, the club has made more money
from cheap, young players rather than experienced professionals. This was acknowledged
by Evans: “We lost some good players in the past who were out of contract”,
i.e. could leave for very little or even nothing.
To get an idea of underlying profitability and how much cash
is generated, football clubs often look at EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest,
Depreciation and Amortisation), as this metric strips out player trading and
non-cash items. In Ipswich’s case this highlights the changed strategy after
2012, as EBITDA has improved from minus
£9 million in 2012 to minus £6 million in 2016 (though this was a million worse
than the previous year).
This might not sound overly impressive, as it is still
negative, but it has to be put into the context of the Championship, where very
few clubs manage to generate cash. Apart from Blackpool with their “unique”
approach to running a football club, no Championship has reported EBITDA higher
than £1.5 million in the last two seasons (in stark contrast to the Premier
League where in the same period every club enjoyed positive EBITDA, except the basket
case that is QPR).
Revenue has fallen by £1 million (6%) from the recent £17.2
million peak in 2011, which was boosted by reaching the Carling Cup the
semi-final and a profitable FA Cup match at Chelsea.
All revenue streams have fallen since then, especially
commercial income, which is 13% (£0.7 million) lower, though this is partly due
to a decision to outsource catering (and thus only including net royalty
payments in revenue). Gate receipts have rebounded, even though attendances
have fallen, partly due to ticket price increases.
Following the slight reduction in 2015/16, Ipswich’s revenue
of £16 million remains firmly in the bottom half of the Championship, a long
way behind the top three clubs, who all earned more than £40 million. Of
course, to a large extent, this only demonstrates the importance of parachute
payments for those clubs relegated from the Premier League.
This is clearly a sore point for Evans, “The average
parachute club starts with a £20 million per season head start over the rest of
us.” He added, “The lack of parity in the game certainly makes it harder to
compete. This season there were nine clubs benefiting from parachute payments
and there will be something similar next year. That gives them a massive
financial advantage.”
If these parachute payments were to be excluded, the gap
would obviously reduce, but Ipswich’s £16 million would still be a fair way
behind many other clubs, e.g. Brighton £25 million, Leeds United £24 million
and Derby County £21 million. Given these stats, Ipswich’s performance in the
last three seasons is worthy of some praise.
The mix of Ipswich’s revenue has changed over the years with
broadcasting rising from 13% in 2009 to 33% in 2016 and commercial falling from
41% to 27%. However, match day remains the most important revenue stream at
40%, even though it has declined from 46%.
Unsurprisingly, this means that Ipswich are one of the
Championship clubs most reliant on gate receipts. In percentage terms only four
clubs had a higher dependency in 2014/15: Nottingham Forest, Charlton Athletic,
Brighton and Millwall.
Gate receipts were flat at £6.5 million in 2015/16, even
though average attendance fell by 644 (3%), as this was offset by one
additional home cup game. Nevertheless, Ipswich’s match day revenue is the 9th
highest in the Championship, though still around £3 million lower than Brighton
£9.4 million and Leeds United £9.2 million.
Ipswich’s average attendance of 18,959 was actually the 8th
best in last season’s Championship, but a fair way behind clubs like Derby
County (29,663), Brighton (25,583) and Middlesbrough (24,627).
Ipswich’s attendances had been on a declining trend for a
number of years, but the charge to the play-offs resulted in an upswing in
2014/15. However, they have started to fall again since then with a further
slump this season to 16,789, which means that Ipswich have lost a third of
their crowd since the recent 25,651 peak in 2004/05.
Evans is acutely aware of the reduction in spectators: “We
can’t deny that attendances have been falling away somewhat this season – an
indication of the disappointing results we have had this year.”
He said that the club was “looking at creative ways of
getting supporters back to Portman Road.” These include low prices for
youngsters (e.g. the season ticket for under-11s has been held at just £10 for
nine successive years), interest-free direct debit monthly payment scheme and
discounts with local businesses. If Ipswich are promoted to the Premier League,
the season ticket will be upgraded at no extra price plus the holder will be
given a free season ticket.
However, fundamentally Ipswich’s ticket prices are among the
most expensive in the second tier. According to the BBC’s Price of Football
survey, no other fans in the Championship pay more for the most expensive
season ticket, while Town’s prices for the cheapest season ticket are only
surpassed by three clubs (Brighton, Newcastle and Norwich City).
From 2003 to 2013 season ticket prices had remained frozen
for seven out of the 11 years. However, prices have gone up every year since 2014/15,
including a 1.5% increase for the 2017/18 season (in line with the retail price
index).
Ipswich’s broadcasting revenue rose 6% (£0.3 million) to
£5.4 million in 2015/16, which was attributed to an increase in the Football
League basic distribution. In the Championship most clubs receive the same
annual sum for TV, regardless of where they finish in the league, amounting to
around £4 million of central distributions: £2.1 million from the Football League
pool and a £2.3 million solidarity payment from the Premier League. There are
also payments for each live TV game: £100,000 home; £10,000 away.
However, the clear importance of parachute payments is once
again highlighted in this revenue stream, greatly influencing the top nine
earners in 2014/15. Nevertheless, it should be noted that these payments are
not necessarily a panacea, e.g. Middlesbrough secured promotion last season,
even though their broadcasting income of £6 million was less than half the size
of those clubs boosted by parachutes.
Looking at the television distributions in the top flight,
the massive financial chasm between England’s top two leagues becomes evident
with Premier League clubs receiving between £67 million and £101 million in 2015/16,
compared to the £4 million in the Championship. In other words, it would take a
Championship club more than 15 years to earn the same amount as the bottom
placed club in the Premier League.
The size of the prize goes a long way towards explaining the
loss-making behaviour of many Championship clubs. This is even more the case
with the new TV deal that started in 2016/17, which will be worth an additional
£35-60 million a year to each club depending on where they finish in the table.
Even if a club were to finish last in their first season in
the top flight and go straight back down, their TV revenue would increase by an
amazing £95 million. They would also receive a further £71 million in parachute
payments, giving additional funds of around £166 million. If they survived
another season, you could throw in another £120 million.
Of course, if they did go up, Ipswich would also have to
spend more to strengthen their playing squad, but the net impact on the club’s
finances would undoubtedly be positive, as evidenced by the improvement in the
bottom line for those clubs promoted in the past few seasons.
As we have seen, parachute payments make a significant
difference to a club’s revenue and therefore its spending power in the
Championship. From this season, these will be even higher, though clubs will
only receive parachute payments for three seasons after relegation. My estimate
is £83 million, based on the percentages advised by the Premier League (year 1
– 55%, year 2 – 45% and year 3 – 20%), including around £40 million in the
first year. However, if a club is relegated after only one season in the
Premier League, it will only benefit from parachute payments for two years.
There are some arguments in favour of these payments, namely
that it encourages clubs promoted to the Premier League to invest to compete,
safe in the knowledge that if the worst happens and they do end up relegated at
the end of the season, then there is a safety net. However, they do undoubtedly
create a significant revenue disadvantage in the Championship for clubs like
Ipswich, as Evans has often stated.
It is worth noting that if Ipswich were to be promoted, then
they are contractually bound to make additional payments to players, coaches,
staff, players’ former clubs, season ticket holders and certain convertible
loan note holders. This is not quantified in the latest accounts, but was given
as £8.2 million in 2013.
Commercial income fell by 4% (£0.4 million) to £4.4 million
in 2015/16, though this is a little misleading, as the match day public
catering operation was outsourced whereby the club now receives a royalty based
on turnover.
Corporate sales and sponsorship were also slightly down on
last year, however merchandise sales exceeded 2014/15, further building on the
success of the change of kit supplier to Adidas in 2014 (a four-year deal).
This was the first time Ipswich had worked with the German supplier since the
glory days 35 years ago when they won the FA Cup and UEFA Cup under Bobby
Robson.
The shirt sponsorship is with the Marcus Evans Group, who
originally signed a five-year deal in 2008 worth a reported £4 million in total
and have subsequently extended this each season.
There is clearly room for improvement in the commercial area,
though to be fair only two Championship clubs (QPR and Leeds United) generate
more than £10 million a season. This is basically down to results, as Evans
admitted: “We work very hard maximising revenues for the club on a commercial
basis, but ultimately our product is about what the team delivers on the pitch.
And, like any business, if your product is of good quality, you’ll make more
money and sell more of your product.”
Ipswich’s wage bill increased by 4% (£0.6 million) to £16.6
million, as full-time headcount was up from 142 to 149, leading to the wages to
turnover ratio rising from 97% to 102%.
This was the second year in a row that wages have climbed, a
necessary evil for Town, as explained by Ian Milne when commenting on the
2014/15 figures: “The wage bill has gone up this season quite appreciably. People
say ‘where has the Tyrone Mings and Aaron Cresswell money gone?’ Well that’s
where it is being ploughed into.”
Nevertheless, wages are still 8% below the £18.0 million
peak in 2012, when the wages to turnover ratio was as high as 119%. Milne
again: “We’re not paying under the market value, but the important thing is
that we’re not paying over the market value either – which is something we have
done in the past. Back in 2012 (when the club made a loss of £16m) we were
paying some very high salaries.”
Clearly, the business model is still not ideal if revenue is
not sufficient to cover the wage bill, let alone any other expenses, but almost
every club in the Championship has a dreadful wages to turnover ratio with over
half of them being more than 100%. In fact, Ipswich’s 102% looks positively
reasonable compared to clubs like Brentford 178%, Nottingham Forest 170% and
Blackburn Rovers 134%.
The £17 million wage bill was also firmly in the bottom half
of the league, underlining the challenge in reaching the play-offs. In
particular, it was significantly lower than the likes of Cardiff City, Fulham, Reading,
Hull City, Blackburn Rovers and Nottingham Forest, whose wages were all above
£30 million. This season it will be even worse with the arrival of big spending
Newcastle United and Aston Villa in the Championship.
As Milne observed, “We certainly aren’t the highest spenders
in terms of wages. We are paying more than we were, but I suspect it is still
quite a bit less than some of the clubs that surround us.”
Of course, a high wage bill is no guarantee of success and
it is also true that clubs have been promoted with a low wage bill, e.g.
Burnley, but Ipswich’s relatively low wages certainly do not make it any
easier.
Other expenses rose by £0.3 million (6%) to £5.4 million in
2015/16, largely as a result of a restatement of the Football League pension
fund deficit (in accordance with Financial Reporting Standard FRS102) and
general cost increases, but this was still on the low side, compared to clubs
like Brighton £16.0 million, Fulham £13.4 million and Leeds United £12.6
million.
The recent lack of spending in the transfer market has been
reflected in Ipswich’s profit and loss account via player amortisation, which
has fallen from £5.1 million in 2009/10 to just £0.2 million in 2015/16.
In the same way, the lack of big money buys from other clubs
has impacted the balance sheet with the value of player (intangible) assets
decreasing from £6.4 million in 2010 to £0.3 million in 2016.
The accounting for player trading is fairly technical, but
it is important to grasp how it works to really understand a football club’s
accounts. The fundamental point is that when a club purchases a player the
transfer fee is not fully expensed in the year of purchase, but the cost is
written-off evenly over the length of the player’s contract, e.g. Grant Ward
was bought from Tottenham for a reported £600,00 on a three-year deal, so the
annual amortisation in the accounts for him is £200,000.
To place this into perspective, Ipswich’s player
amortisation of £0.2 million is one of the lowest in the Championship, only
ahead of Rotherham United. The highest player amortisation is obviously found
at clubs recently relegated from the Premier League, namely Hull City £21
million, QPR £16 million, Cardiff City £11 million and Fulham £11 million.
Net debt fell by £0.7 million from £87.2 million to £86.5
million, as gross debt was reduced by £1.6 million from £88.2 million to £86.6
million, but cash also dropped by £0.9 million from £1.0 million to £0.1
million. Nevertheless, debt has shot up from the £36 million in 2008, which was
largely taken on by Evans when he bought the club.
Almost all the debt is owed to various Marcus Evans’
companies, mainly through a mixture of loans and convertible loan notes. There
are also £8 million of preference shares, which pay a fixed dividend of 7% per
annum (provided there are profits available for distribution). To date, the
club has accrued £4.8 million for these dividends. Against that, interest has
not been charged on the Loan Notes 2026 from July 2014.
Of course, many clubs in the Championship have built up substantial
debt, but Ipswich’s £87 million is only surpassed by five other clubs: QPR £194
million, Brighton £171 million, Cardiff City £116 million, Blackburn Rovers
£104 million and Hull City £101 million.
The club has emphasised that it is not in debt to any
financial institution, as explained by finance director Mark Andrews, “''Most
Championship clubs are carrying debt but the majority of debt carried at
Ipswich Town is not external, it is owed to the Marcus Evans Group.”
Milne added, “Marcus is very happy with the debt level –
it’s all owed to him, none of it is owed to banks or anything like that. He,
like a number of owners, doesn’t expect to get any of it back unless we get in
the Premier League.”
This is indeed true, but there is still a degree of risk
associated with such an arrangement, as the annual accounts noted: “the club
remains dependent upon ongoing financial support from its principal
shareholder.”
From a cash perspective Ipswich basically balance the books,
but only because Evans increases his loan each year, as the cash flow from
operating activities remains stubbornly negative. In the last decade Evans has
provided £46.3 million via £32.8 million of loans and a £13.5 million increase
in share capital. Financing has also come from £7.4 million of net player sales
and a £1.5 million reduction in the cash balance.
However, the lack of investment over the last eight years is
striking with just £0.2 million being spent on infrastructure improvements in
the Evans era, i.e. virtually nothing on the stadium. Instead, almost all of
the funding has been used to simply cover the club’s operating losses.
Former chief executive Simon Clegg explained Ipswich’s
dependency on the owner a few years ago, “We only survive because Marcus Evans
can afford to put in £4 million or £5 million of his own money every year to
keep the club afloat”, while Evans repeated the mantra last December, “I am
committing sums of £5 million and more per annum, at the start of each season
towards the annual budget.”
That was certainly true in the past, but the cash flow
statement shows that only around £400,000 of additional loans were received by
the club in each of the last two seasons (net £250,000 after loan repayments),
as the difference was largely compensated by player sales.
That may have changed this season, but Milne noted in a
slightly worrying statement that, “You can’t keep expecting the owner to keep
throwing money at things.”
Either way, Ipswich’s cash balance as at 30 June 2016 was
down to just £91,000, one of the lowest in the Championship, though in fairness
none of the clubs is sitting on a cash mountain.
One accusation against Evans’ ownership is that there has
been a lack of transparency around the club’s affairs, epitomised by HMRC
issuing a winding-up order in February 2016 for non-payment of tax, though this
was subsequently dismissed – and described by Milne as “a storm in a tea cup”.
Yet the main charge is that the owner lacks ambition. The
man himself has argued that this is not the case, effectively laying the blame
at the feet of Lady Luck: “When I took over here I was hoping we would get to
the Premier League in five years. I never had a firm expectation though. I
realised that in football there are so many factors outside of your control.”
In fairness, Evans’ cautious approach has to be considered
preferable to that applied by some owners (Bolton Wanderers, for example),
especially for a club like Ipswich Town that experienced administration in the
not too distant past.
"Hard to Berra"
In any case, he cannot simply buy success, as Ipswich need
to comply with the Financial Fair Play (FFP) regulations. Evans had been a keen
supporter of this initiative, “It is a key objective of the Board to reduce
ongoing losses in order to meet the Football League’s FFP rules.”
However, he has become increasingly disillusioned, “FFP,
which was brought in to level an increasingly uneven playing field hasn’t
worked.” This is not just due to the advantage that parachute payments bring to
clubs facing a cap on losses, but the application of the regulations.
Evans again, “At the moment it appears to be a total farce.
However, let’s wait and see if the Football League does its job. I appreciate
that legal wheels sometimes grind very slowly.”
Under the new rules, losses will be calculated over a
rolling three-year period up to a maximum of £39 million, i.e. an annual
average of £13 million, assuming that any losses in excess of £5 million are
covered by owners injecting equity. A higher loss one year can be compensated
in later years, e.g. via player sales, or might even become irrelevant (if the
club is promoted).
"No Tears for Sears"
Basically, the allowable losses have increased, which is
likely to encourage Ipswich’s rivals to spend even more, making the division
even more competitive. For Ipswich to challenge, Evans would have to inject
equity to maximise allowable losses.
It should be noted that FFP losses are not the same as the
published accounts, as clubs are permitted to exclude some costs, such as
depreciation, youth development, community schemes and any promotion-related
bonuses.
These barriers help explain Ipswich’s focus on youth
development, as explained by Evans: “I am 100% committed to the Academy and
have recently invested over £1 million in new infrastructure and additional
staffing. I believe our efforts of the last years are starting to pay off.”
Despite failing to secure the coveted Category One status, a
number of talented players have emerged from the Academy over the last couple
of years, e.g. Andre Dozzell, Teddy Bishop, Josh Emmanuel and Myles Kenlock.
Furthermore, Town had three players in the England squad at last summer’s U17
European Championship.
"Teddy Picker"
Evans recently underlined his commitment, to Ipswich Town “I
will continue to do everything I can to ensure that the success we want is just
around the corner and that we are promoted.” However, he put his finger on the
main issue in the very same statement, “There are those that feel my investment
plan has no chance of success.”
This is a reference to the feeling that it is unlikely that
a club like Ipswich could be promoted to the Premier League without the benefit
of substantial investment, particularly in a world of ever more lucrative
parachute payments to clubs relegated from the top flight.
It would indeed be a major surprise if Ipswich were to go
up, especially given their current lowly position. Stranger things have
happened, but not too often.
I noticed you've increased your estimates for the 2016-2019 Premier League payments, is there a reason for that? Is it the weak pound increasing the value of overseas rights?
ReplyDeleteOutstanding analysis. It puts Mick's job into perspective. Thank you.
ReplyDeleteGreat article - you should link it on to the Ipswich fanzine website (twtd) and also of many other clubs in a similar situation.
ReplyDeleteAwesome overview & I'm pleased my less detailed analysis seems to be in a similar ballpark.
ReplyDeleteMany people moan about the interest that Evans charges us, essentially advising we are being used as a vehicle to drains funds out and offset losses. Have you done any analysis of this (or even, are there the figures to enable it?)
All very interesting. With a bit of clever thinking and recruiting the right players Ipswich do not have to be in this depressing situation. Maybe there should be an analysis on how many Championship managers re-employ old mates that are not good enough to be in the team but are. We would be top of that league .
ReplyDeleteInteresting that Evans sticks with McCarthy when the above highlights how important gate receipts are. Myself and most people I know are not staying away because we're in the Championship and results haven't been great. We're staying away because of the absolute dross and turgid style of football that the is served up.
ReplyDeleteThank you for this detailed,and balanced assessment based on the figures provided by the football club.
ReplyDeleteIt would appear that the club is more reliant on gate receipts than most in the Championship,which as you(and Mr Evans)have said are decreasing.
This year with the usual early exits from both cups,and continuing loss of season ticket holders,mainly it seems because of the Manager;it would seem to be prudent to dispense with Mr McCarthy's services.
I am sure that were this to occur then gates could well increase,which in turn increases other matchday income.This would soon defray the cost of paying up the departing Managers contract.
Good post.
ReplyDeleteGood post.
ReplyDeleteInteresting, very interesting.
ReplyDeleteVery good article. The club has been in financial decline for several years now, but they don't help themselves. I know it's only small change, but they still provide fleeces for staff to wear in the catering kiosks, even though catering has reportedly been sub-contracted out (so why are they still paying for fleeces?). These fleeces are frequently 'stolen' by staff, as they are allowed to take them home in between matches. Some of them only work a week or two, before leaving the job (with their fleece!). The club could fix this, by enforcing a rule of all fleeces remaining on the premises! They have now introduced a £10 deposit per fleece, but given the fleeces are apparently worth around £50, it clearly needs to be a bigger deposit if they're going to continue to use this approach. This is just one small example of financial waste at the club. I know of several others (e.g. use of taxis!).
ReplyDeleteThank you for this detailed,and balanced assessment based on the figures provided by the football club.
ReplyDeleteIt would appear that the club is more reliant on gate receipts than most in the Championship,which as you(and Mr Evans)have said are decreasing.
Very interesting. Thanks.
ReplyDelete